Sensitivity Analysis — Correlations
The correlation method is a widely used method to determine the linear relationship between each input parameter and QoI. The method is purely sample based and does not require a surrogate model. There are four type of correlations: bivariate correlation (also known as Pearson’s correlation), rank bivariate correlation (also known as Spearman’s rank correlation), partial correlation, and rank partial correlation.
The bivariate correlation is defined as
Here, cov(xi, y) is the covariance between the scalar QoI and the ith input parameter, and V(xi) and V(y) are the variances of xi and y, respectively. Note that for a UQ study with more than one QoI, the correlations between QoIs and input parameters are computed for each QoI. The correlation result, ranging from 1 to 1, measures the linear relationship between xi and y, where a correlation equals 1 when y linearly grows with xi. Correlation is equal to 1 when y linearly decreases with xi.
The rank correlation is defined as the bivariate correlation between the rank values of xi and y. The rank correlation computes the monotonic relationship between xi and y. A rank correlation equals 1 when the QoI monotonically grows with xi and it equals 1 when the QoI monotonically decreases with xi.
Note that the bivariate correlation does not take into account the possible effect that other input parameters might have on the QoI. For instance, healthcare funding and disease rate could be positively correlated according to their bivariate correlation. Such an observation is contradictory because healthcare visits increasing with healthcare funding is ignored. On the other hand, partial correlation can be calculated to determine the linear relationship between xi and y where all the linear effects from the other input parameters are removed:
Here, x\i denotes all parameters but xi. The rank partial correlation is defined as the bivariate correlation between the rank values of xi and y. In terms of linear regression, the partial correlation can be interpreted as the correlation between the residuals resulting from the linear regression of xi with x\i and y with x\i.
Note that, compared to the screening method, sensitivity analysis provides a quantitative measure of the relationship between the input parameters and the QoI.